Qualifying prediction game 2019

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P-F1 Mod
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Qualifying prediction game 2019

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Hi guys,

I was thinking, we have a lot of prediction competitions going on for race results, but not so much for qualifying. I realise the top 4-6 are far more static on Saturday than Sunday, but at the same time the midfield and back end of the pack can put in a lot of surprises over one lap that they can't manage in the race.

I was thinking of a points system that matches Pick 10 - so get your prediction within 9 places, your prediction scores. The main difference being that all 20 grid slots are part of the competition. Entries would be expected before the start of FP2 each weekend, allowing basically a shakedown FP1 session as the only benchmark by which to judge. That should keep a balance between insight and instinct among predictions.

I was hoping to start this from the Belgian Grand Prix, so we'd have a 9 race championship this year and shake out the bugs for 2019.

Thoughts?
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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Ill give it a go.... maybe spilt the brackets into who will be knocked out q1 & q2 then who will finish in what order for q3
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

That would certainly simplify the lower half of the field for points - say, 10 points for each right answer in Q1/2 and then the 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 for Q3.
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Any interest for 2019?
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Exediron
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Exediron »

I'm cautiously interested, but concerned that I might be exceeding the load of F1 forum games I can actually keep track of if I add another... 8O
PICK 10 COMPETITION (4 wins, 16 podiums): 3rd in 2016
TOP THREE CHAMPIONSHIP (No Limit Excedrin Racing): Champions in 2015 & 2018 | 2nd in 2017 & 2019
AUTOSPORT GP PREDICTOR: 2017 USA & P-F1 Champion

P-F1 Mod
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

If we get less than 6 people sign up I'll can the idea anyway, so far there's two so you can breathe easy ;)
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Black_Flag_11
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Black_Flag_11 »

Exediron wrote:I'm cautiously interested, but concerned that I might be exceeding the load of F1 forum games I can actually keep track of if I add another... 8O

I'm trying to keep myself to 2-3 this year. Last time I had to try remember 5-6 different things to do before the weekend, all with different cut off times, just got silly.

I'd be up for this one as my 3rd though :thumbup:

Herb
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Herb »

Black_Flag_11 wrote:
Exediron wrote:I'm cautiously interested, but concerned that I might be exceeding the load of F1 forum games I can actually keep track of if I add another... 8O

I'm trying to keep myself to 2-3 this year. Last time I had to try remember 5-6 different things to do before the weekend, all with different cut off times, just got silly.

I'd be up for this one as my 3rd though :thumbup:


Maybe when we get near the time, we should have a (locked) sticky post with competition links and cutoff times?


Oh, I'll give it a bash!

P-F1 Mod
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Good idea! Will post it as a global sticky to be sure it's seen. PLEASE someone remind me I said this!

As for this contest, so far we have entered:

P-F1 Mod
Mayhem
Exediron (?)
Herb
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jzusy
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by jzusy »

I'd love to play, as have always loved qualy session and results. i'll have a disadvantage from the States, however, as FP1 is usually in middle of the night, so I'll lose out on feedback from that session. would cut-off for entry prior to FP3 cause a big problem?

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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Not at all, before FP3 makes more sense in a lot of ways. I wouldn't want to go later than that because FP3 is the qualifying simulation session. Welcome aboard!
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jzusy
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by jzusy »

Thanks for the rules change. It makes sense to have a larger time window to make your picks, you still have a solid deadline, and everybody has the same info, including FP2 crashes/car problems.

Possible 500 points per race (qualy) should make for some large scores. Race picks for 10th who barely miss and finish 11th is always a bummer. Here, you'll still get your 18, and maybe even Stroll will score me some points from time to time.

Why the delay until Belgium? You need help counting scores?

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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Can we please have an official break down of the rules and scoring just so everything is clear
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Submit predictions before the start of FP3 every weekend, naming:

5 Q1 dropouts
5 Q2 dropouts
and the top 10, ranked in order.
Each driver may only be named once.

The 25-18-15-12-10-8-6-4-2-1 score, from 0 to 9 spots away from a right answer, applies to the top 10, with a further 10 points for each Q1 and Q2 dropout called correctly. In theory 350 points are available per race.
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

jzusy wrote:Why the delay until Belgium? You need help counting scores?

The thread was set up last year but the game had almost no interest. As an all season thing, we're doing better.
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Icemanjee1
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Icemanjee1 »

I'm in too
One & only - 'Iceman' Kimi Räikkönen

Pick 10|'19: ,'18: P9 ,'17: P8,'16: P12,'14: P24
Top 3|'19: /'18: P7,Team: P2/'17: P4,Team: P3 /'16: P8,Team: P2
Group Pick'em|'19: /'18: P3/'17: P6/'16: P6
F1 Oracle|'17: P3{3W}/'16: P2{4W}

P-F1 Mod
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

My predictions for Melbourne (I'll forget if I leave it later :lol: )

Q1
Russell
Kubica
Albon
Kvyat
Stroll

Q2
Norris
Raikkonen
Giovinazzi
Magnussen
Grosjean

Top 10:
1 Hamilton
2 Vettel
3 Leclerc
4 Verstappen
5 Bottas
6 Ricciardo
7 Gasly
8 Hulkenberg
9 Perez
10 Sainz
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Mod Blue
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mod Blue »

Q1
Russell
Kubica
Albon
Norris
Stroll

Q2
Kvyat
Perez
Giovinazzi
Grosjean
Magnussen


Top 10:
1 Vettel
2 Hamilton
3 Bottas
4 Leclerc
5 Verstappen
6 Ricciardo
7 Gasly
8 Sainz
9 Raikkonen
10 Hulkenberg

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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Q1
Russell
Kubica
Albon
Norris
Stroll

Q2
Perez
Giovinazzi
Sainz
Magnussen
Kvyat

Top 10:
1 Hamilton
2 Vettel
3 Bottas
4 Leclerc
5 Verstappen
6 Ricciardo
7 Gasly
8 Hulkenberg
9 Raikkonen
10 Grosjean
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

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Icemanjee1
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Icemanjee1 »

Q1:

Kubica
Russell
Albon
Norris
Stroll

Q2:
Giovinazzi
Perez
Kvyat
Sainz
Magnussen

Top 10:
1. Hamilton
2. Vettel
3. Bottas
4. Leclerc
5. Max
6. Gasly
7. Ricciardo
8. Kimi
9. Hulkenberg
10. Grosjean
One & only - 'Iceman' Kimi Räikkönen

Pick 10|'19: ,'18: P9 ,'17: P8,'16: P12,'14: P24
Top 3|'19: /'18: P7,Team: P2/'17: P4,Team: P3 /'16: P8,Team: P2
Group Pick'em|'19: /'18: P3/'17: P6/'16: P6
F1 Oracle|'17: P3{3W}/'16: P2{4W}

jzusy
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by jzusy »

Austral-yer Qualy 2019

Out in Q1
Stroll
Albon
Norris
Russell
Kubica

Out in Q2
Kvyat
Grosjean
Sainz
Giovinazzi
Perez

Top Ten
1. HAM
2. BOT
3. VET
4. VER
5. LEC
6. GAS
7. RIC
8. HUL
9. RAI
10. MAG

Jenson's Understeer
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Jenson's Understeer »

Q1
Russell
Kubica
Norris
Stroll
Albon

Q2
Kvyat
Perez
Sainz
Giovinazzi
Magnussen

Top Ten
1. Vettel
2. Hamilton
3. Leclerc
4. Bottas
5. Verstappen
6. Gasly
7. Raikkonen
8. Ricciardo
9. Hulkenberg
10. Grosjean
Pick 10 | 1st x3, 2nd x3, 3rd x8
2019: 11th | 2018: 5th | 2017: 6th | 2016: 8th | 2015: 2nd | 2014: 15th | 2013: 17th | 2012: 11th

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Exediron
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Exediron »

Alright-y, here we go! FP2 left me with no idea, so this is going to be some serious guesswork.

OUT IN Q1
Russell
Kubica
Norris
Stroll
Giovinazzi

OUT IN Q2
Sainz
Perez
Kvyat
Albon
Magnussen

TOP TEN
10. Grosjean
9. Raikkonen
8. Ricciardo
7. Hulkenberg
6. Gasly
5. Bottas
4. Verstappen
3. Leclerc
2. Vettel
1. Hamilton
PICK 10 COMPETITION (4 wins, 16 podiums): 3rd in 2016
TOP THREE CHAMPIONSHIP (No Limit Excedrin Racing): Champions in 2015 & 2018 | 2nd in 2017 & 2019
AUTOSPORT GP PREDICTOR: 2017 USA & P-F1 Champion

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Remmirath
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Remmirath »

All right! Time for some guesswork. :-P

Australian Grand Prix

OUT IN Q1
Robert Kubica
George Russell
Lance Stroll
Lando Norris
Alexander Albon

OUT IN Q2
Antonio Giovinazzi
Romain Grosjean
Daniil Kvyat
Carlos Sainz
Sergio Perez

TOP TEN
10. Kevin Magnussen
9. Daniel Ricciardo
8. Nico Hulkenberg
7. Pierre Gasly
6. Kimi Raikkonen
5. Max Verstappen
4. Valtteri Bottas
3. Charles Leclerc
2. Sebastian Vettel
1. Lewis Hamilton
Image
Qualifying Prediction Game 2019 Champion [8 wins]
Pick 10: 2016: 22nd | 2017: 21st | 2018: 3rd | 2019: 20th
Top Three: 2016: 9th [6th] | 2017: 16th [6th] | 2018: 4th [4th] | 2019: 3rd [1st]

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Black_Flag_11
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Black_Flag_11 »

Australia
Q1
Russell
Kubica
Albon
Norris
Kvyat

Q2
Giovinazzi
Grosjean
Perez
Sainz
Stroll

Top 10
1. Vettel
2. Hamilton
3. Leclerc
4. Bottas
5. Verstappen
6. Ricciardo
7. Gasly
8. Raikkonen
9. Hulkenberg
10. Magnussen

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Exediron
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Exediron »

If a Williams makes it out of Q1, a lot of people are going to be looking pretty stupid... :D
PICK 10 COMPETITION (4 wins, 16 podiums): 3rd in 2016
TOP THREE CHAMPIONSHIP (No Limit Excedrin Racing): Champions in 2015 & 2018 | 2nd in 2017 & 2019
AUTOSPORT GP PREDICTOR: 2017 USA & P-F1 Champion

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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Interesting opening round! I was looking at the predictions thinking we were all in the same kind of ballpark, but there's an 80 point swing from first to last!

Nobody scored points with the following drivers:

Gasly (a lot of people predicted he'd qualify 7th, and anyone putting him just one place lower would have got a point, but none of us saw that coming!)
Norris (I don't think anyone really expected a McLaren to get into the top 10, I only put Sainz there out of optimism!)

The real clincher was calling the top 5 cars in the right order. Nobody expected much variation in which 5 cars would lock out the top quarter, but the order was key. The best score from that part of the field was the maximum 125; the worst was 84. Those belong to first and last in the standings right now. But it's only the first round, that's not even 5% of the season yet!

Scores are as follows:

JZUSY - 232
MAYHEM - 200
EXEDIRON - 200
ICEMANJEE1 - 198
P-F1 MOD - 189
REMMIRATH - 189
MOD BLUE - 186
JENSON'S UNDERSTEER - 176
BLACK_FLAG_11 - 152
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jzusy
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by jzusy »

Having done so poorly in last year's pick 10 (after doing reasonably well in my rookie year, two years ago), it's nice to score well in the opening round of Qualy Predicts 2019. Especially against the big guns. Let's just hope I can keep the crow off my plate going forward.

Being able to watch FP1 and FP2 clinched it, along with the post-practice driver interviews and body language. There were many important clues.

And of course my pick 10 selections are now trash. Eight tenths for Mercedes? Come on! Who the hell knew that was coming?

Gents, it's already shaping up to be a great year. When Gasly stops being stupid, the young guys, including Leclerc, are going to put on quite a show. Kudos to Lando -- I had a feeling about him -- and Albon and Giovinazzi are going to soon be lurking for Q3's themselves.

Good luck to you guys in tommy's race.

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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Joint 2nd 👍🏽
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Joint 2nd 👍🏽
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

P-F1 Mod
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

With yourself? :P Aside from the first and last places the scores are remarkably close, especially for a race with no precedent.
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P-F1 Mod
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by P-F1 Mod »

Bahrain:

Q1
Kubica
Russell
Kvyat
Albon
Sainz

Q2
Perez
Stroll
Giovinazzi
Raikkonen
Norris

1 Hamilton
2 Bottas
3 Vettel
4 Leclerc
5 Verstappen
6 Hulkenberg
7 Ricciardo
8 Grosjean
9 Magnussen
10 Gasly
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Mod Blue
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mod Blue »

Bahrain:

Q1
Kubica
Russell
Kvyat
Albon
Stroll

Q2
Norris
Sainz
Giovinazzi
Gasly
Magnussen

1 Hamilton
2 Vettel
3 Bottas
4 Verstappen
5 Leclerc
6 Ricciardo
7 Grosjean
8 Hulkenberg
9 Raikkonnen
10 Perez

Jenson's Understeer
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Jenson's Understeer »

Bahrain:

Q1 eliminations:

Russell
Kubica
Kvyat
Giovinazzi
Albon

Q2 eliminations:

Norris
Sainz
Stroll
Perez
Magnussen

Top Ten:

1. Vettel
2. Leclerc
3. Hamilton
4. Bottas
5. Verstappen
6. Gasly
7. Ricciardo
8. Hulkenberg
9. Raikkonen
10. Grosjean
Pick 10 | 1st x3, 2nd x3, 3rd x8
2019: 11th | 2018: 5th | 2017: 6th | 2016: 8th | 2015: 2nd | 2014: 15th | 2013: 17th | 2012: 11th

jzusy
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by jzusy »

Qualy, Bahrain

Out, Q1: KUB, RUS, GIO, STR, ALB

Out, Q2: SAI, NOR, RAI, PER, KVY

Top 10:

1. VET
2. HAM
3. LEC
4. BOT
5. VER
6. HUL
7. GRO
8. GAS
9. RIC
10. MAG

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Black_Flag_11
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Black_Flag_11 »

Australia
Q1
Russell
Kubica
Norris
Sainz
Albon

Q2
Giovinazzi
Ricciardo
Stroll
Kvyat
Hulkenberg

Top 10
1. Vettel
2. Leclerc
3. Bottas
4. Hamilton
5. Verstappen
6. Gasly
7. Magnussen
8. Raikkonen
9. Grosjean
10. Perez

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Exediron
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Exediron »

BAHRAIN

OUT IN Q1
Russell
Kubica
Stroll
Perez
Giovinazzi

OUT IN Q2
Sainz
Norris
Kvyat
Albon
Raikkonen

TOP TEN
10. Ricciardo
9. Hulkenberg
8. Magnussen
7. Grosjean
6. Gasly
5. Verstappen
4. Bottas
3. Leclerc
2. Vettel
1. Hamilton
PICK 10 COMPETITION (4 wins, 16 podiums): 3rd in 2016
TOP THREE CHAMPIONSHIP (No Limit Excedrin Racing): Champions in 2015 & 2018 | 2nd in 2017 & 2019
AUTOSPORT GP PREDICTOR: 2017 USA & P-F1 Champion

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Remmirath
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Remmirath »

Bahraini Grand Prix

Out in Q1
Robert Kubica
George Russell
Antonio Giovinazzi
Lance Stroll
Sergio Perez

Out in Q2
Kimi Raikkonen
Carlos Sainz
Pierre Gasly
Alexander Albon
Romain Grosjean

Top 10
10. Daniil Kvyat
9. Lando Norris
8. Daniel Ricciardo
7. Nico Hulkenberg
6. Kevin Magnussen
5. Max Verstappen
4. Valtteri Bottas
3. Lewis Hamilton
2. Sebastian Vettel
1. Charles Leclerc
Image
Qualifying Prediction Game 2019 Champion [8 wins]
Pick 10: 2016: 22nd | 2017: 21st | 2018: 3rd | 2019: 20th
Top Three: 2016: 9th [6th] | 2017: 16th [6th] | 2018: 4th [4th] | 2019: 3rd [1st]

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Mayhem
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Mayhem »

Q1
Russell
Kubica
Albon
Norris
Giovinazzi

Q2
Perez
Stroll
Sainz
Kvyat
Raikkonen

Top 10:
1 Hamilton
2 Bottas
3 Vettel
4 Leclerc
5 Verstappen
6 Gasly
7 Grosjean
8 Ricciardo
9 Magnussen
10Hulkenberg
PF1 pick 10 2016: 7th (1 win, 4 podiums), 2017: 17th (3 podiums)
Awards: Sergio perez trophy & Podium specialist
PF1 pick 3 2015: constructors 2nd, singles 5th
Autosport Gp 2016/17 - 5th
F1 Oracle 2017: 2nd (6 wins), 2016:5th (2wins)

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Icemanjee1
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Re: Qualifying prediction game?

Post by Icemanjee1 »

Bahrain GP 2019

Q1
Kubica
Russell
Stroll
Giovinazzi
Perez

Q2
Kvyat
Albon
Sainz
Kimi
Ricciardo

Top 10
1. Hamilton
2. Vettel
3. Bottas
4. Leclerc
5. Verstappen
6. Gasly
7. Grosjean
8. Magnussen
9. Hulkenberg
10. Norris
One & only - 'Iceman' Kimi Räikkönen

Pick 10|'19: ,'18: P9 ,'17: P8,'16: P12,'14: P24
Top 3|'19: /'18: P7,Team: P2/'17: P4,Team: P3 /'16: P8,Team: P2
Group Pick'em|'19: /'18: P3/'17: P6/'16: P6
F1 Oracle|'17: P3{3W}/'16: P2{4W}

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