Although the numbers are concerning, it's not as scary as it seems.Asphalt_World wrote:Looking again at the OP I made some time ago, it's looking worryingly wrong. It would appear that a decent percentage of Americans do think along the same lines as Trump!Asphalt_World wrote:May I just say that as a non American, I don't hold Donald Trump as a typical representation of your countries people.
The fact is that he doesn't pull a majority of the votes, yes he gets more than the others, but not much above 40% most of the time so not the majority of all primary votes cast. How many of Cruz or Rubio voters who vote for those two would switch to Trump if their guy dropped out is unclear but I doubt (hope) it would be enough to push Trump over the 50% mark.
Considering the groups he has denigrated over the last year I don't see how he pull in enough votes to win the general election regardless of who the Democratcs put up against him. Essentially the only people who would vote for him then are the ones who are now. So if he can only get ~40% of one party's primary's voters that would translate into maybe 20% in the general election which is an absolute shellacking by any measure.
The bigger risk for the GOP is that if Trump is their presidential candidate, regardless of whether he wins or not, they stand a chance to lose their majorities in at least the House if not both chambers of congress with 88% of those seats being on the ballot this year as well.