mikeyg123 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 06, 2020 3:18 pm
Invade wrote: ↑Thu Aug 06, 2020 2:05 pm
mikeyg123 wrote: ↑Thu Aug 06, 2020 6:42 am
Invade wrote: ↑Wed Aug 05, 2020 6:14 pm
Some of us here had a discussion after Hamilton won his 6th WDC that even if we argue he is half a step below Schumacher or Senna — not that I think that BTW — that the way he has comported himself as a champion might be enough to give him the nod.
To me, these guys competed in different eras and I'm not especially interested in placing one over the other, but at this stage it's hard to deny that Hamilton is in the top echelon of ATGs.
edit:
Well, I can think of a few who would resist for various reasons. I wonder if Hamilton is greater than Piquet yet (and where is Zoue anyway?)
And I wonder if our good pal Mikey is yet at the stage where he'd place Hamilton among the highest of the elite — perhaps not?
Ultimately, there are many standout drivers in the history of F1. It is entirely reasonable if there are some people who place, for example, Schumacher, Senna, Fangio, Clark, Prost, Stewart, even Alonso, and at a stretch folks like Piquet or Lauda, ahead of Hamilton.
For most though, I'm sure Hamilton would crack the top 5.
I'm sure there's a good chance Sandman would have him #1 — (and where is Sandman BTW?)
I think it's an interesting conversation and with statistics like Hamilton's he's definitely put himself in the conversation. For me though I wouldn't put him above any of what I consider the big 5. The five drivers who's names are usually discussed in all the GOAT discussions - Clark, Fangio, Prost, Schumacher and Senna.
I think since 2017 Hamilton has been driving at a level that would put him at least on par with any of them. For want of a better word I will call that GOAT level. Now in my opinion Hamilton spent too much of his career driving just under that goat level. I think it took him until his 11th season to get their and be the ultimate package of a driver we have now. I believe the other 5 drivers I have listed achieved that level much sooner and sustained it throughout the bulk of their careers. So while I believe since 2017 Hamilton has been as good as any of them if you took an average over their careers he has been slightly pooter than the other 5.
Now my second reason, and some people are going to hate this but it is my honest opinion, It's hard for me to discuss Hamilton as the GOAT when I don't even consider him the best (note I said best not greatest) driver of his generation. I would give that honor to Alonso. Obviously when discussing "greatness" Hamilton's statistics put him above Alonso in that. When we are talking about potentially the greatest of all time though I feel it's important that should be someone who was the best racing driver of their generation.
My top ten list at present -
1. Schumacher
2. Senna
3. Fangio
4. Clark
5. Prost
6. Hamilton
7. Stewart
8. Alonso
9. Ascari
10. Lauda
I generally define "greatness" in this context using 3 indicators - Ability, achievement, impact on the sport. Someone like Lauda IMO would not be top 10 on ability, he was beaten by too many teammates, but his impact on the sport is very large and his statistics good for his era.
Alonso the reverse. n ability I think he's up in the top 5 but as he spent a lot of his career not fighting for wins his legacy is reduced.
Nice detailed post. I'd say two things. You dismiss Hamilton's early dominance too much at Mercedes because you feel the car was too dominant, but I assume you won't hold that against him now in 2020 should he dominate because he's proved himself, so to speak, in measurable circumstances against Vettel in 2017 and 2018 where the gap in class perhaps became clear. But maybe those performances just proved what was always inside Hamilton. 2014 and 2015 were impressive, I'd say, and it's not like he didn't put in stellar seasons before then such as 2010 and especially 2012, where if he was worse than Alonso it wasn't by much.
Secondly, I think the argument about being best as a pure driver, say, in an era can be faulty. Some eras just have more top-end talent than others. Maybe Schumacher wouldn't have been the "best" in his era if he and Alonso's primes has coincided for many years. We don't know, of course, but we do know that Schumacher inherited an era devoid of Champions at the start of his reign. The best example I can think of is the perception of Federer, Nadal and Djokovic in tennis, who are all considered to not just be greater but also better than Sampras by a majority. Yet of course they can't all be the best of their era, yet Sampras was the best of his. Sampras didn't have any equivalent talent to prove himself against or be potentially exposed by, but Fed, Rafa, Nole have. We could level a similar charge at Schumacher, who, once he got going, had his stiffest competition in Hakkinen. Towards the end of his prime or even after it, he was done by Alonso.
So I don't think the "having to be the best in an era" notion always stands to reason, but it is a more objective (less subjective) measure to use that, which compares peers, than to use something which creates fantasies and assumptions across eras with no tangible evidence. Yet the perception is clear in the tennis example I gave above, and I do agree that all 3 are overall greater and better than Sampras and that after a weak era tennis saw a golden generation the likes of which hadn't been seen since Gonzales, Laver, Rosewall.
Sure but to use your Tennis analogy you'd wouldn't pick one of the three you consider inferior to be the greatest?
This conversation is all about opinions which for me is what makes it so fascinating. I believe a reasonable person could put Hamilton anywhere from 1st to 8th greatest and have fair justification for their choice.
I agree that i find it very hard to rate 2014-16. I am of the opinion that a driver performing at GOAT level would not have dropped as many points, poles and wins to Nico Rosberg. Now, Rosberg is a bit of a tough driver to rate because despite 11 seasons in F1 he's almost impossible to benchmark against anyone but Hamilton himself which is obviously useless if the reason you're trying to establish how good he is is to donkeys Hamilton. It's circular. So whilst I'm pretty confident of my stated opinion - That the likes of Senna or Schumacher would never have let that amount of wins go begging to a driver nobody considers in a GOAT conversation, I accept that I could be wrong on that. Purely because Rosberg might be a lot better than I think. Some supporting evidence I would add is that Hamilton also lost a lot of results to Button. A very good driver but a driver of a standard that I think Schumacher or Senna would have made mincemeat of.
Regardless to any of that even if Hamilton hit full stride in 2014 that's still a lot of years spent slightly under GOAT level before 2014 bringing his career average down.
From such a group, only one can take the top spot of course, but as a group they could be ahead of someone else from another era who was the best of their era.
I agree with you, anywhere from 1st to 8th is reasonable. We have to respect that the sport has seen many superb racers and given that the car is so incredibly important, there is special wiggle room in F1 to make contextual judgments — though some people will abuse this and use it as a shield to create confirmation bias in a way which is much harder to do in a sport like tennis which is a far purer meritocracy. Williams today is the equivalent, kind of, of making a top tennis player today use a wooden racket. That's a bit extreme but I'm sure you catch my drift.
It is very difficult to make these judgments. Perception on N.Rosberg varies wildly and he did go up against Schumacher and beat him in all 3 seasons but many dismiss this as a way-past-his-prime Schumacher. On the face of it Rosberg did compete against GOAT candidate drivers in many seasons, and fared quite favourably. Then we have to also judge the quality of teammates and the sort of philosophy that teams hard regarding driver preference. Schumacher perhaps looks so dominant because he simply was, but it's hard for me to believe that some of this wasn't down to generally having a lower level of teammates in general and a more lopsided intrateam condition which afforded him a substantial amount of his successes.
Hamilton has been exposed to greater talent within the team, including going up against Alonso as a rookie in 2007 of course, and doing well. Now I personally believe Hamilton has matured slower than the likes of Schumacher and Prost. He's more of a fine wine and his emotional intelligence grew slowly but surely. He has some intangibles which cover for this perhaps, in what I believe is an unparalleled self awareness to find constant improvement and to at least try to evolve year on year. So his trajectory is perhaps a bit different and unique. Once mercurial, he is now seemingly a constant presence of excellence.
Further, we now have to increasingly consider the sheer wealth of opportunity Hamilton has now been afforded. Schumacher was perhaps more dominant than Hamilton in a similar circumstance and this is reflected in winning percentage during their most dominant periods at Ferrari and Mercedes respectively. Hamilton may well have achieved similarly if his team backed him to the (frankly absurd) extent which Ferrari backed Schumacher. However, whatever the reasons are for this extra dominance whether it's more backing, or simply that Schumacher was the more relentless beast of a driver, Hamilton is now in a completely unprecedented position. Whatever we might argue he has lost due to team philosophy, he's gaining far more by virtue of the duration of dominance Mercedes are now experiencing.
We could look at WDCs won as a percentage of reasonable opportunity, for example that Hamilton could have won in 2007, 2010 and 2012 and of course 2016 but didn't — though this is very tricky and case dependent. But we can now seriously talk about an exceptionally #blessed #charmed existence of Hamilton in which he's odds on favourite to win the WDC in 2020 and 2021, and tell me, would you bet against Mercedes for 2022 and beyond?
It is all very interesting to discuss and as you say this is fascinating, especially when you can have reasonable discussion with others.
There's no doubt that Hamilton will have (or perhaps already has) had the most opportunities to become World Champion of any driver in history and it's key to consider this in then ranking him.