Search found 40 matches

by FrogInARaceCar
Sun Mar 28, 2021 10:49 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Driver(s) of the Day - 2021 Bahrain Grand Prix
Replies: 52
Views: 3193

Re: Driver(s) of the Day - 2021 Bahrain Grand Prix

Hamilton, Norris, Tsunoda. Nods to Leclerc and Perez (the latter only for his race performance, not making Q3 in the fastest car is Not Good).
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Feb 01, 2021 6:40 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread
Replies: 187
Views: 9451

Re: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread

I'd expect the fastest of the next gen to be a touch quicker than those of the previous , so those figures fit in line with my intuition, at least. But Schumacher was quicker than both Alonso and Hamilton, which contradicts that idea. I have Schumacher up 0.190% on Hamilton using Button-Barrichello...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Jan 13, 2021 11:17 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994
Replies: 76
Views: 3397

Re: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994

Both incidents were terrible. I think the high speed of Sennas makes it particularly uncomfortable. The thing I haven’t seen here regarding 94, which is crucial for me, Schumacher was out the race when he took Hill out. He had destroyed his right suspension hitting the wall. The right rear wheel wa...
by FrogInARaceCar
Sat Jan 09, 2021 10:47 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: PF1 Forum teammate wars 2020 results
Replies: 21
Views: 1594

Re: PF1 Forum teammate wars 2020 results

Thank you for running this!
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Jan 05, 2021 3:34 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994
Replies: 76
Views: 3397

Re: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994

In my view though the eventual outcome was justified - 1994 was probably one of the most "manufactured" title fights to have ever existed, after Senna's unfortunate demise. Hill would have been nowhere in the fight were it not for the people in power hobbling Schumacher every step of the way - it w...
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Jan 05, 2021 2:00 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994
Replies: 76
Views: 3397

Re: Suzuka 1990 vs Adelaide 1994

Schumi tried it again in 1997 under near-identical circumstances, which makes the defence quite a lot harder. Plus, Senna died in a car and had that slightly unearthly quality about him, so he's a hero to a lot of people in a way that Schumacher isn't. And no, 1994 isn't defensible in my view. First...
by FrogInARaceCar
Sun Dec 27, 2020 1:27 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread
Replies: 187
Views: 9451

Re: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread

I have to question whether Alonso > Ocon 0.12s - 0.34s is really a prediction beyond you expect Alonso to beat Ocon. To be honest, I value these predictions a lot more when they are transparent about the margin of error. Given the number of steps, we shouldn't expect a particularly precise predicti...
by FrogInARaceCar
Sun Dec 20, 2020 6:04 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Rank the Drivers, December 2020
Replies: 35
Views: 2967

Re: Rank the Drivers, December 2020

Hamilton Verstappen Ricciardo Leclerc Perez Russell Bottas Sainz Norris Vettel Gasly Raikkonen Hulkenberg Ocon Stroll Kyvat Grosjean Magnussen Albon Giovianzzi Fittipaldi Aitken Latifi EDIT: If the format allowed, I'd split this into tiers, with 3-4, 5-7, 8-14, 15-20 and 21-23 hard to tell apart. I...
by FrogInARaceCar
Sat Dec 19, 2020 1:59 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread
Replies: 187
Views: 9451

Re: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread

I'll say what I expect from a qualitative point of view: Leclerc to beat Sainz, but Sainz to be better than Vettel was. Vettel to have roughly Perez's margin over Stroll. The questions behind both of these is really "What was going on at Ferrari in 2020 - was Leclerc really good or was Vettel really...
by FrogInARaceCar
Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:27 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: How fast is Verstappen relative to Hamilton? (THREAD SPLIT)
Replies: 713
Views: 101158

Re: How fast is Verstappen relative to Hamilton? (THREAD SPLIT)

Good idea with the thread, this will be interesting! For all the naysaying, I do think there's some nonzero value to the comparisons. More data certainly helps - the Kimi/Alonso/Massa triangle had 2.5 seasons of Kimi/Massa and 3 of Alonso/Massa. I'm more comfortable with qualitative statements like ...
by FrogInARaceCar
Fri Dec 18, 2020 10:24 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread
Replies: 187
Views: 9451

Re: The Great Big 2021 A > B > C Thread

A request for those who've built the comparison models: Provide your confidence intervals. You're never going to get it bang on, but something like "I think Vettel will beat Stroll by 0.3s, plus or minus 0.2s", gives us all a much better idea of how well you think your method works and gives a way t...
by FrogInARaceCar
Fri Dec 18, 2020 8:13 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: How fast is Verstappen relative to Hamilton? (THREAD SPLIT)
Replies: 713
Views: 101158

Re: How fast is Verstappen relative to Hamilton? (THREAD SPLIT)

All the quantitative X -> Y -> Z stuff needs a serious conversation about statistics, and in particular, errors, because I think some of the claims about driver performance in this thread are vastly overconfident. I chose, partly at random and partly because it's old enough to hopefully be uncontrov...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Dec 16, 2020 12:16 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Predict the next World Champion
Replies: 36
Views: 2194

Re: Predict the next World Champion

This boils down to:

Which will happen first:

1) Hamilton retires
2) Hamilton is beaten by a team-mate
3) Someone other than Mercedes builds a championship-winning car

and if 3, who will be driving it?

I voted for Max, but I think both Russell and Bottas are also both pretty likely.
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Dec 09, 2020 8:44 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Whose 'announcement' race was the most impressive.
Replies: 66
Views: 3155

Re: Whose 'announcement' race was the most impressive.

Vettel. He took pole and beat the field, on pace, in a weak car.
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 7:53 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: PF1 Forum teammate wars vote: Sakhir 2020
Replies: 11
Views: 570

Re: PF1 Forum teammate wars vote: Sakhir 2020

I often seem to get Lafiti in my head for some reason, but it is Latifi. I also always used to type wherlien rather than wehrlein though, so we all can make mistakes! I blame Jacques Laffite! I'm too young to have seen him race, but I know the name and spent the first few races of this year assumin...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 2:27 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: PF1 Forum teammate wars vote: Sakhir 2020
Replies: 11
Views: 570

Re: PF1 Forum teammate wars vote: Sakhir 2020

Russell over Bottas, although Bottas wasn't quite as bad as he looked - he was catching Russell when disaster struck. Vettel over Leclerc: Slow, undramatic drive to a non-points finish, or an ace qualifying lap followed by lap lap 1 brain fade? At least Vettel's poor performance didn't affect anyone...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 10:05 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Official Alex Albon Thread
Replies: 70
Views: 5278

Re: The Official Alex Albon Thread

(Also, how do you get the BBCode for quoting a tweet to work?) 1335688977626624000 Use the tweet tags, and then remove everything from the twitter.com URL except for the part after the final slash -- the bit that's just numbers. Copy that between the tweet tags, and you're good to go! Free tip: Thi...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 9:14 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Official Alex Albon Thread
Replies: 70
Views: 5278

Re: The Official Alex Albon Thread

It's the perfect opportunity. Verstappen out on lap one, both Mercs have disasters, and he ends up... 6th. On the future, Will Buxton has this the future of the other Red Bull seat: That win wasn't just validation or vindication for @SChecoPerez, it was the clearest example of why he HAS to stay in ...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 1:51 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Sakhir Grand Prix
Replies: 28
Views: 1305

Re: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Sakhir Grand Prix

Magnificent race by Perez, is this the first time someone's gone last-to-first since Canada 2011?
Russell, obviously.
Ended up on Sainz for the other vote, but could have been several others.
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Dec 07, 2020 1:31 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: 2020 Sakhir Grand Prix Race Thread
Replies: 429
Views: 14070

Re: 2020 Sakhir Grand Prix Race Thread

Delighted for Perez, gutted for Russell.

George is really young, heir apparent to whichever Mercedes seat opens first, and will get other chances to win races. This could be Checo's only win, and for him to leave F1 without a win would have been a real injustice.
by FrogInARaceCar
Thu Dec 03, 2020 9:17 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: How will Russell perform against Bottas?
Replies: 215
Views: 11731

Re: How will Russell perform against Bottas?

Assuming it's a normal race with nothing odd going on I expect him to be 3rd, behind Bottas and Verstappen but ahead of Albon. That would a perfectly respectable result under the circumstances. In fact, this is how I'd see the potential results for Russell (again, this assumes it's a boring race wit...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Nov 16, 2020 9:02 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Turkish Grand Prix
Replies: 35
Views: 2066

Re: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Turkish Grand Prix

Voted for the podium. It continues to be mad that Perez has no seat next year.
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Oct 27, 2020 2:21 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Race Thread
Replies: 203
Views: 10615

Re: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Race Thread

I can't find an on-board video from Norris's car looking forward during his incident with Stroll. I'm still trying to make sense of the stewards' verdict saying Stroll caused the accident. Especially so after the FP incident between Stroll and Verstappen, for which it was clear Verstappen was to bl...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Oct 26, 2020 11:54 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

I would still keep Albon, despite the downward spiral he's in. We've been through this routine enough times Red Bull's second seat (Kvyat, Gasly, now Albon) to conclude that the problem is with the team, not the drivers. Red Bull need to figure out what it is about their team that prevents talented ...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Oct 26, 2020 10:24 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: The Official Alex Albon Thread
Replies: 70
Views: 5278

Re: The Official Alex Albon Thread

DOLOMITE wrote:
Mon Oct 26, 2020 9:23 am
DOLOMITE wrote:
Mon Oct 12, 2020 11:09 am
well that won't have helped.....
and neither will that. Lapped by your teammate despite no evident car troubles?....
Yeah, this is going downhill, sadly.

Red Bull need to figure out why they keep doing this to their drivers and make some changes.
by FrogInARaceCar
Sun Oct 25, 2020 9:17 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Portugal Grand Prix
Replies: 18
Views: 1665

Re: Driver(s) of the Day - 2020 Portugal Grand Prix

Gasly, Leclerc, Hamilton. Perez would have displaced Hamilton except for his excessive defence against Gasly.

(My girlfriend's view: Hamilton, Perez, Gasly)
by FrogInARaceCar
Sun Oct 25, 2020 9:12 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Race Thread
Replies: 203
Views: 10615

Re: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Race Thread

- Race was good. I was pessimistic given the layout, but happy to be proved wrong. - Max was very lucky to get away with understeering into Perez on lap 1. Not impressed with Max's "He took himself out", there have been penalties awarded for far less this season. - Great race from Perez, Gasly, Lecl...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Oct 21, 2020 12:31 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Free Practice & Qualifying Thread
Replies: 146
Views: 8077

Re: 2020 Portugal Grand Prix Free Practice & Qualifying Thread

I am surprised that they didn't use the track variant with the first-corner chicane. I guess passing is probably possible at the T5 hairpin, but otherwise it looks like it will be restricted to DRS on the main straight.
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Oct 14, 2020 1:25 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Can Female Drivers compete equally against Male Drivers?
Replies: 181
Views: 6371

Re: Can Female Drivers compete equally against Male Drivers?

True, but I genuinely can't see a woman being competitive in modern F1 machinery, unless she was around 5ft tall, weighed sub 50kg that could give her a ballast advantage and she had no neck. If someone like that existed - or had enough aptitude to overcome such hurdles - I'm sure they would have b...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Oct 14, 2020 9:50 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Can Female Drivers compete equally against Male Drivers?
Replies: 181
Views: 6371

Re: Can Female Drivers compete equally against Male Drivers?

To answer the title: Sure, why not? In more detail: The endurance demands of F1 are large but not extreme - the drivers need to be very fit, but we think the differences between drivers are mostly due to their ability to control the car rather than their peak physical performance, and there's no rea...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Sep 23, 2020 5:20 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

In his first 3 seasons in the sport, Verstappen was arguably* better than Ricciardo (...) *In their races together during 2016 and 2017, Ricciardo scored more points with roughly the same number of races finished (+29 and +32), while in 2018 Verstappen scored 79 more but finished 4 more races (also...
by FrogInARaceCar
Wed Sep 23, 2020 8:24 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

Taking the whole season into account & the issues both drivers faced on & off the track, i'd agree if you said Verstappen was the faster driver though I'm not convinced he was the better driver. Well given the legwork you've already kindly done, Ricciardo had 10 trouble free races, Verstappen had 1...
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Sep 22, 2020 5:46 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

Taking the whole season into account & the issues both drivers faced on & off the track, i'd agree if you said Verstappen was the faster driver though I'm not convinced he was the better driver. Well given the legwork you've already kindly done, Ricciardo had 10 trouble free races, Verstappen had 1...
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Sep 22, 2020 11:15 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

We can already get the Verstappen/Hamilton comparison - Verstappen - Ricciardo - Vettel - Raikkonen - Massa - Bottas - Hamilton This is the only one that holds any weight IMO. With the exception of Vettel/Ricciardo, every pair of teammates on the chain was partnered for multiple seasons, and we hav...
by FrogInARaceCar
Thu Sep 17, 2020 7:37 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?
Replies: 266
Views: 14129

Re: Red Bull 2021 - who would you sign?

Voted Albon, despite how much I'd like to see Perez get a drive in a frontrunning car. I think Red Bull need to pick their driver and put some faith in them. Gasly's problems were bigger than Albon's - the pace was similar, but Gasly tended to get stuck behind midfield cars, unable to pass (this fea...
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Sep 15, 2020 1:43 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Sebastian Vettel to Aston Martin in 2021 (merged)
Replies: 142
Views: 7862

Re: Could next year be Vettel's final nail in the coffin?

To repair his reputation, Vettel needs to trounce Stroll in a way that Perez has not come close to. Assuming Stroll's results in the Racing Point/Aston Martin are about where they are this year, that means consistently competing with Verstappen for the third podium spot and maybe winning a race or ...
by FrogInARaceCar
Tue Sep 15, 2020 10:55 am
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: Sebastian Vettel to Aston Martin in 2021 (merged)
Replies: 142
Views: 7862

Re: Could next year be Vettel's final nail in the coffin?

To repair his reputation, Vettel needs to trounce Stroll in a way that Perez has not come close to. Assuming Stroll's results in the Racing Point/Aston Martin are about where they are this year, that means consistently competing with Verstappen for the third podium spot and maybe winning a race or t...
by FrogInARaceCar
Thu Sep 10, 2020 9:43 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: 2020 Tuscan Grand Prix Free Practice & Qualifying Thread
Replies: 81
Views: 4986

Re: 2020 Tuscan Grand Prix Free Practice & Qualifying Thread

Is turn one going to be the only realistic place to overtake? Yeah there will be very limited overtaking. 1304130520125562880 Should be a better showing for Ferrari in their 1000th GP, slow and twisty track, really the only one since Hungary, where they looked a lot better than at the recent power ...
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Sep 07, 2020 3:26 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: New Member introduction thread
Replies: 864
Views: 617063

Re: New Member introduction thread

Hi!

I've watched F1 since the late '80s, and been lurking for a long time. Then... I finally sorted out the account creation process, so hi.
by FrogInARaceCar
Mon Sep 07, 2020 3:15 pm
Forum: F1 & Motorsport Forum
Topic: POLL: Hamilton/Giovinazzi penalties
Replies: 92
Views: 5145

Re: POLL: Hamilton/Giovinazzi penalties

I think this is kind of the wrong question - the penalty is the listed in the rules so the stewards don't have much discretion. What went wrong here was a failure of safety. If the pitlane is closed, it's for a safety-related reason, and so it should be blindingly obvious to all concerned that the p...