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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 3:01 pm 
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Am expecting a great tomorrow nonetheless.

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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 3:08 pm 
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Mercedes 1-2

Ferrari-Red bull 3-5

Best of the rest+gasly 6-18

Williams 19- 20

Anyone want to bet against that?


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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 3:32 pm 
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Altair wrote:
Mercedes 1-2

Ferrari-Red bull 3-5

Best of the rest+gasly 6-18

Williams 19- 20

Anyone want to bet against that?


No but I'll bet there's at least one SC and there'll be an opportunity for someone to mix that up. Whether they take advantage of it strategy wise and driver wise I'm less sure on current form.

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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 3:43 pm 
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Lotus49 wrote:
Altair wrote:
Mercedes 1-2

Ferrari-Red bull 3-5

Best of the rest+gasly 6-18

Williams 19- 20

Anyone want to bet against that?


No but I'll bet there's at least one SC and there'll be an opportunity for someone to mix that up. Whether they take advantage of it strategy wise and driver wise I'm less sure on current form.


True. Baku is probably the most unpredictable race on the calendar!

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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 4:19 pm 
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Last year, if you got in DRS it was a guaranteed pass. Given that it’s easier to follow, it could be really interesting.


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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 4:46 pm 
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Not sure which team have gone for lower downforce and have more speed on straight. But I think top teams race pace is comparable and the midfield battle will also be good. As overtaking is possible here. I will not be surprised if both Ferrari crash out like RBR did last year.

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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 5:40 pm 
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Ferrari will win.


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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 6:18 pm 
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Certainly there are a number of drivers out of position on the grid which will make for more overtaking.

I would predict a victory for Sebastian, but he hasn't been able to close the deal since last August in Belgium. Only a few more races and the Sky Sports pundits will start talking about his "winless streak".

I would love to see Charles get a podium tomorrow if not a win.

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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 6:26 pm 
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laclirk for the win


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PostPosted: Sat Apr 27, 2019 9:46 pm 
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My prediction is that at some point during this race, Leclerc is going to appear behind Vettel and Seb will be ordered to let him pass.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:10 am 
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Exediron wrote:
My prediction is that at some point during this race, Leclerc is going to appear behind Vettel and Seb will be ordered to let him pass.

I see that happening as well but Leclerc will not ask to be let by he will just pass him.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:56 am 
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I can see leclerc winning this for some reason, probably just a stupid gut feeling. But funny that id say leclerc is more a favourite to win than vettel, says a lot about where he is at right now


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 2:26 am 
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Race sets available with all drivers:

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Source - www.imgur.com

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 7:26 am 
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The official starting grid after penalties applied:

1 Valtteri Bottas
2 Lewis Hamilton
3 Sebastian Vettel
4 Max Verstappen
5 Sergio Perez
6 Daniil Kvyat
7 Lando Norris
8 Kimi Räikkönen
9 Charles Leclerc
10 Carlos Sainz
11 Daniel Ricciardo
12 Alexander Albon
13 Kevin Magnussen
14 Lance Stroll
15 Romain Grosjean
16 Nico Hulkenberg
17 George Russell
18 Antonio Giovinazzi *
19 Robert Kubica
20 Pierre Gasly **

*Giovinazzi penalised 10 places for third control electronics.
** Gasly to start from pit lane, excluded from qualy for a fuel flow violation.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 7:47 am 
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pokerman wrote:
Exediron wrote:
My prediction is that at some point during this race, Leclerc is going to appear behind Vettel and Seb will be ordered to let him pass.

I see that happening as well but Leclerc will not ask to be let by he will just pass him.
Depends. It not necessarily easy to pass in equal cars - look at what heppened to Red Bull last year. If Leclerc comes up behind Vettel then I can see a "I'm faster than him" messsage being relayed, for the psychological value as much as anything else.

And if he does catch Vettel, assuming it's not just in the chaos of the start, then he would deserve to be let by. And I'd go so far as to say if that happens we may see a shift in priorities from Ferrari in coming races, too.


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 7:53 am 
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UnlikeUday wrote:
Race sets available with all drivers:

Image
Source - http://www.imgur.com

Thanks. So Leclerc has a couple of sets of the Soft tyre left - could be interesting if there's a SC later in the race! Curious to see how he fares at the beginning as he's going to be on the slower tyre to most of those around him. I'd heard during Free Practice that the gap between Medium and Soft was supposed to be up to 7 tenths over a lap. I'm always a bit skeptical of those estimates as they rarely turn out to be accurate, but it does suggest Leclerc may have his work cut out keeping up with the front runners at the beginning


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 7:55 am 
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Also really hope Norris gets a clean start and can fight for best of the rest. McLaren are due a bit of good fortune


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 8:17 am 
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Some important stats from yesterday:

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Source - www.imgur.com

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Source - www.imgur.com

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 8:23 am 
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The time when Leclerc made a mistake in Germany and tried to come back from it, he made a right mess of things. I think he's going to try and be careful when climbing back the order and I doubt he will get by Vettel if he even catches up to him. I only see this happening if Vettel messes up again. Or maybe he will be desperate to make up for his mistake and make another. I somehow don't feel his speed will continue like it was in qualifying without another mistake, or a decision to be more careful, which will result in him being a bit slower. I don't quite understand how so many people (not all on this site) seem to be so optimistic about him to catching right up to Vettel and passing him.


Last edited by TheGiantHogweed on Sun Apr 28, 2019 8:29 am, edited 1 time in total.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 8:28 am 
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Will be interesting what impact leclerc starting on the medium tyres will have. If they are the race tyre and he can go long then it will pull him back into contention


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 9:14 am 
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Leclerc starting 9th, has so many options with tyres, there will be SC’s, he is a contender to win. In fact I would say the Mercedes that leads after the first lap is favourite, Leclerc is second favourite.


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 9:16 am 
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Very odd that Hamilton had 3rd slowest finish line time but 2nd fastest S3? Mercedes looks like it will get breezed by if anyone gets DRS on them


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 9:58 am 
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Johnson wrote:
Very odd that Hamilton had 3rd slowest finish line time but 2nd fastest S3? Mercedes looks like it will get breezed by if anyone gets DRS on them


Could it be due to tow's?


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 10:55 am 
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Inappropriate post removed.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:04 am 
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So, that's Kimi starting at the back and another place forward for Leclerc.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:09 am 
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Asphalt_World wrote:
So, that's Kimi starting at the back and another place forward for Leclerc.


Yeah his car failed the front wing deflection test.

So 2 questions.

1. How do they stiffen it?

2. How did the other Alfa pass?

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:11 am 
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Leclerc has to consider himself very lucky. Whan Bottas made a slight mistake by getting on the power just slightly too soon in Australia during qualifying last year, that resulted in a crash. Then starting P10, then getting a penalty and starting P15. Leclerc situation was something he could easily avoided by going straight on like other drivers did earlier. But he luckily got away without an extra penalty, and was lucky enough that Gasly and that Kimi have also been disqualified (or chose not to take part in gasly's case) moving him up 2 places. Very lucky.


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:16 am 
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Jezza13 wrote:
Asphalt_World wrote:
So, that's Kimi starting at the back and another place forward for Leclerc.


Yeah his car failed the front wing deflection test.

So 2 questions.

1. How do they stiffen it?

2. How did the other Alfa pass?


I guess it's down to build quality. They will all flex a tiny bit and they probably are all very tight to this regulation. The slightest issue with it's build, plus possible changes to it's strength as a result of running over kerbs, could cause one to fail.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:24 am 
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Zoue wrote:
pokerman wrote:
Exediron wrote:
My prediction is that at some point during this race, Leclerc is going to appear behind Vettel and Seb will be ordered to let him pass.

I see that happening as well but Leclerc will not ask to be let by he will just pass him.
Depends. It not necessarily easy to pass in equal cars - look at what heppened to Red Bull last year. If Leclerc comes up behind Vettel then I can see a "I'm faster than him" messsage being relayed, for the psychological value as much as anything else.

And if he does catch Vettel, assuming it's not just in the chaos of the start, then he would deserve to be let by. And I'd go so far as to say if that happens we may see a shift in priorities from Ferrari in coming races, too.

Is it equal cars when one driver is about half a second quicker, it's a similar situation to Bahrain were Leclerc was able to make the pass and then in Baku you have that long DRS straight, I don't think that Vettel will even look to hold up Leclerc.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:25 am 
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TheGiantHogweed wrote:
The time when Leclerc made a mistake in Germany and tried to come back from it, he made a right mess of things. I think he's going to try and be careful when climbing back the order and I doubt he will get by Vettel if he even catches up to him. I only see this happening if Vettel messes up again. Or maybe he will be desperate to make up for his mistake and make another. I somehow don't feel his speed will continue like it was in qualifying without another mistake, or a decision to be more careful, which will result in him being a bit slower. I don't quite understand how so many people (not all on this site) seem to be so optimistic about him to catching right up to Vettel and passing him.

Leclerc made a mess in Germany because it rained.

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:38 am 
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The damage cost of last year's 1 lap incidents! 8O


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:38 am 
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3 cars will be starting in the pitlane! 8O

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 11:51 am 
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Strategy guide for the race:

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Source - https://a4.espncdn.com/combiner/i?img=% ... format=jpg

Incase of a likely safety car scenario during the early stage of the race, hard tyre may come into play

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:12 pm 
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UnlikeUday wrote:
The damage cost of last year's 1 lap incidents! 8O


This is epic :lol:

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:13 pm 
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Well if season form is a guide then Bottas is the least likely to win it - the polesitter hasn't won yet this season!


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:15 pm 
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That's how teammates should race against one another

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:17 pm 
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They're all intact, what's going on?!

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:19 pm 
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pokerman wrote:
That's how teammates should race against one another




Great example of how all wheel to wheel racing should be done

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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:22 pm 
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Both Mercs streaking away. Vettel doesn't appear to have the pace at the moment


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PostPosted: Sun Apr 28, 2019 12:25 pm 
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DRS is too powerful. Makes overtaking a gimmie down the main straight.


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